Gideon has designed and led programs including Information . (Par with 2004, or is this the worst since 1996?). I think LNP sense long term opportunity in both seats. Time after all candidates have spoken to network with all guests, where discussion and questions can be individually asked. Labor will probably hang on, but if the political realignment of blue collar voters towards the LNP continues they may well lose this sear. Home; News. ANCESTRY. A Queensland Health directive seen by Strewth specifies: Government elected representatives from declared Australian hotspots who are travelling to Queensland to perform official duties are permitted to come to Queensland despite the two-week pause. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. Most of Blairs population lives in the urban area around the centre of Ipswich, and these have been divided into Central, North and East. Oxley had a long history of being held by the Labor Party but was lost to disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson in 1996. Parliament House An official website of the United States government. from 2004 to 2008. Worsteling is a retail worker and research assistant currently studying psychology at the University of Queensland. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. Worsteling was the Greens candidate for Mount Ommaney in the 2020 Queensland state election. And for all of winediamond deriding of senior state Ministers in Labor (Cameron Dick, Steven Miles etc) they still continue to easily spank their state LNP opponents every election. After forming her own political party, Pauline Hanson's One Nation, Hanson contested and lost the newly created seat of Blair at the 1998 election. Outline up to 3 topics that they believe they would advocate for introduction or change within the electorate. Closely following is the People's Democratic Party candidate, Atiku Abubakar and thereafter, Peter Obi of the Labour Party. Polls dont decide elections voters do. In early 1983 Hayden resigned as leader and was replaced by Hawke, only hours before Malcolm Fraser called an early election. Suburbs include Redbank, Forest Lake, Richlands, Durack, Inala, Jamboree Heights and Jindalee. This overlapped with aspirational first-home buyers, priced out of other parts of Australia, who were attracted to the more affordable housing developments in abundance throughout the outer suburban fringes. The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. They have no ground to gain anymore. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). Who is mystery man Scarr? Hansons seat of Oxley was won in 1998 by ALP candidate Bernie Ripoll, and he held the seat until his retirement in 2016. Organiser of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Ls. Avica, 153 Gooding Drive, Merrimac, QLD 4226. Location: The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. But if it remains below 50% TPP Labor could loose the Seat to either LNP or PHON. . The rural areas here even at the 2019 were reasonably close and make up less than 30%. Peter Dutton, as the OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD as hes a local and a conservative. The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. Results 1983-2019. The main parties on the ballot include the Australian Labor Party, the Coalition (Liberal and National parties), the Greens, the United Australia Party, the Liberal Democrats and One Nation. Christian Values Checklist Released for Federal Election 21 May 2022 Warwick Marsh 29 April 2022 3.6 MINS Editor's Note: A New Second Edition Christian Values Checklist has been released. The LNP narrowly won in northern Ipswich (50.3%) and won more sizeable majorities in the rural areas, winning 55.7% in rural parts of the Ipswich council area and 57.7% in the Somerset council area. Neumann is complacent and believes if he is seen in the community, then that is all he is required to do. The term LNP is only used in Queensland. Although, these lower vaccination-rates are a lot more present in the neighbouring division of Wright. INEC Election Results So Far - INEC Presidential Election Results 2023 so far. That is to go with Jim Chalmers as treasurer. Madura McCormack @maduramccormack less than 2 min read April 20, 2022 - 12:00AM QLD Politics His replacement is Kyle McMillan, who lost the preselection battle for Lilley. A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. The current division is the second to bear the name, and was created in 1949. I would point to divisions like Chisholm or Bennelong as similar divisions in other states which are viable for the Coalition with an established Chinese Australian community. How ridiculous & completely absurd Do you want to save current progress? Labors Shayne Neumann is all voice and no action and is taking the constituents of Blair for granted. I never said the LNP would win as I do think Labor are favourites. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. Libs will offset any loses in wa with seats in QLD, Nsw and Vic. Each nominee that registers to attend will be given 5 minutes to talk and the event will be structured as below: Light finger food will be provided at this event. If you want new real leadership material, stop protecting dead-weight, open up preselections, give fairly-preselected candidates the backing they deserve and let them *make* some safe seats. NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. I still defend my predictions and yes I still think this is in play. Let alone a HACK How dare you ? Ipswich is over 60% of the seat unless the boundaries are different this is a reliable seat for Labor most times.With an expected alp swing in Queensland this is a Labor hold. The reason Dick is there is cause his brother is QLD treasurer. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. Stronger Communities Round 8 - EOIs now Open! Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 6022 Electoral success is no determiner of ministerial competence, or successs. Gideon Rasmussen is a Cybersecurity Management Consultant with over 20 years of experience in corporate and military organizations. 1. She is doing a magnificent job and she too will be re-elected in a landslide. @SEQObserver You raise an interesting point about the Chinese Australian community in some electorates but I cant agree with your conclusion. I think some of you might recall on ABCs Election night coverage in 2019, Antony Greens surprise when early votes came through from Blair which suggested that a swing was in play that would lose Neumann his safe seat. Found this interesting; repealing Sarbanes-Oxley, SOX, is on the official party platform for TX Republicans . View Original Notice? Candidates to watch: Labor MP Emma McBride and Liberal's Michael Feneley Where: This electorate covers suburbs and towns along the NSW Central Coast including The Entrance, Wyong, Tuggerah and. This page contains a list of all candidates who ran in the 2022 congressional elections. Password must be a minimum of 8 characters and contain at least one upper case letter, one lower case letter, one number, and one special character(@$!%*?&). The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. Select 'Federal electorate'. Major "Moogy" Sumner Senate Candidate for SA. In public opinion polls, the economy has consistently ranked among the most important issues for registered voters ahead of Election Day. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Delegate to the Australian Labor Party State Conference (Qld.) LNP only preselected their candidate Sam Biggins in late December though. Seriously what is your problem (s) ? Yes ,its certainly true that wine diamond would know all about Dicks. Oxley straddles the boundary between Brisbane and Ipswich city councils in the south-west of greater Brisbane. Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. That is surprising that the odds are that wide considering the narrow margin. All Rights Reserved. Elected to the House of Representatives for Oxley, Queensland, 2016. Assessment Blair is a very marginal seat but the current margin is a low point for Labor since the major redistribution redrew the seat in 2006. Kyle McMillen will run for the Liberal National Party in the seat of Oxley after Chris Green resigned just days before the formal launch of his campaign. They are lucky that they received that many ministries after having only five seats in the House of Reps. I am interested in watching the rise of the minor parties in this electorate, and others. 1- Choose your state: All ACT NSW NT QLD SA TAS VIC WA. Their redundancies had coincided with globalisation. Ive set up a generic election open thread to go up in the morning. Senator for Queensland. Aston and Menzies are probably at high marks for Labor though. Hanson formed One Nation in her term in the House of Representatives, and contested Blair in 1998. If you have any questions please contact Leila Stewart at mail@gscc.com.au or +61 434035020. Elected women to key state and local executive offices. Voters rewarded the incumbent Fraser government in 1975, Indeed 1996 was the first time since 1949 an incumbent Labor government lost. It was 8 points wrong, So if we apply the same 8 point error to the current polls you get 61-39. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. Neumann did end up weathering the storm but it put this seat on notice. Candidates. @John, howd you figure that? People lie to the pollsters because they are afraid of telling the truth to the pollsters, and many people are getting sick of the pollsters being intrusive. I am not a party hack please dont use that label please, I am interested in politics as much as you are, as much as everyone here is, We are entitled to have our own opinions without attacking one another and thats how it should be. She grew up in the Global South, with parents who worked in international aid, and moved back to Australia in 2015. The seat has moved away from Labor in recent years (Like the overlapping state seats) and Fraser was actually the incumbent prime minister in 1975. For all the brouhaha this will remain a Labor seat. D Beddall MP from 1993 to 1998. The sense of entitlement is just awesomely out there. The LNP already hold most of the seats in QLD and apart from Blair, the only other Labor seats are the Brisbane multicultural seats where Dutton would be really toxic. Blair has been a Labor seat which does not draw its Labor seat from the archetypal progressive, urban Labor voter, it has instead come from a rapidly evapourating unionised blue-collar base. Couple that with LNP base vote strengthening in more blue collar seats (bigger margins in Forde, Petrie Lindsey and becoming competitive in Blair, Fowler, Werriwa, Lilley) you can see why they might see a long term opportunity in Oxley. 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